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Te Waka Economic Radar 2 October 2020

As we reach the close of the third quarter of 2020, the latest statistics on the New Zealand economy give us a picture of the depth of the recession in the first half of the year, with the domestic economy contracting 12.2% in the June quarter. GDP is the topic of the month, and while the contracting economy is no surprise with the strict lockdown measures, NZ’s performance is perhaps a little better than expected when compared with The Treasury’s Budget forecasts back in May (green line in graph below left). The September Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Update expects GDP to rebound in the next quarter.

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